因果心智模型 · CausalCausal Model
Dimension 01 · 因果归因Dimension 01 · Causal Attribution

因果心智模型Causal Model

你如何理解原因和结果?How do you read cause and effect?

"因果"看起来是个客观问题——A 导致 B,要么是,要么不是。但实际上,每个人对同一件事会建出不同的因果链:把哪个变量放进去、把哪个挤出去,决定了你最后做出什么判断。 "Cause and effect" looks objective — A causes B, yes or no. But everyone builds different causal chains for the same event: which variables you let in, which you squeeze out, decides the judgment you end up with.

这一层探索想看清的,不是你的因果观对不对,而是它偏向哪里 This dimension isn't trying to see whether your causal view is right — it's looking at where it leans.

因果判断的三个面向Three lenses of causal judgment Three lenses of how you read cause-and-effectThree lenses on how you read cause-and-effect
归因方向Direction
Direction
  • 你把"为什么"指向哪里Where you point "why"
  • 内 / 外 / 情境Internal / external / contextual
  • 这一点决定你怎么读"成"This decides how you read "success"
归因稳定性Stability
Stability
  • 成功和失败时一致吗Consistent on success and failure?
  • 是否切换归因方向Does the direction switch?
  • "自利性偏误"在这里露面Self-serving bias shows up here
归因领域Field
Field
  • 你在哪里看得最清Where you see most clearly
  • 人际 / 商业 / 成长 / 技术People / business / self / tech
  • 同一个人在不同领域差异很大The same person varies a lot across fields

三个面向叠加 → 你的因果模式Three lenses overlap → your causal pattern

01 · 成功归因01 · Success attribution

想一件你最近做成的事。你觉得它成功,主要是因为什么? Think of something you recently made happen. What do you think made it work?

02 · 失败的第一反应02 · First reaction to failure

想一件你做失败或没做好的事。你的第一反应是? Think of something that didn't work out. What was your first reaction?

03 · 最有把握的领域03 · Most confident field

你在哪个领域对因果关系最有把握? In which field do you trust your causal reading most?

Your causal model

你的因果心智模型画像Your Causal Model Profile

基于你的三个回答推导Derived from your three answers